Articles tagged: Polling

Polls, surveys, approval ratings

166 articles

Harris, Trump tied in Pennsylvania, Michigan

Vice President Harris is tied with former President Trump in Pennsylvania and Michigan, and down 1 point from him in Wisconsin in a set of new Fox News polls released Friday.

The Hill by The Hill

Kamala Harris has already lost momentum: Pollsters

The polling by InsiderAdvantage and Trafalgar in seven battleground states finds Trump on a path to 296 electoral votes — suggesting that Harris has already lost her momentum.

New York Post by New York Post

Top pollster finds Trump has 58% chance of winning 2024 race

Former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the 2024 election have surged in the last month while Vice President Kamala Harris has struggled to find “a 2nd gear,” according to polling guru Nate Silver.

New York Post by New York Post

Can we trust the polls for the US election?

The 2020 US presidential election saw the biggest polling miss in 40 years. We ask how much can we trust current figures suggesting Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in the tightest race for decades? And we give you a steer on how to read individual, tracker and state polls.

Sky News by Sky News

Harris holds slight edge nationally over Trump: poll

New York (AFP) – Kamala Harris has taken a slim lead over Donald Trump in the US presidential race, a new poll showed Tuesday, as the Democrat slammed her rival for "weakness" during a media blitz four weeks before the election.Vice President Harris and Republican former president Trump -- who was d...

Raw Story by Raw Story

Evening Report - Millions vote early as polls drift toward Trump

{beacon} Evening Report   © AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin/Evan Vucci Millions vote early as polls drift toward Trump More than 14 million Americans have already cast their ballots with two  weeks to go before Election Day, according to NBC’s early voting tracker.   The 2024 race for the White House remains a toss-up, but there’s been…

The Hill by The Hill

Trump’s in his best shape yet, woke Jew-hate alive & well and other commentary

Most polls show a “tied race” between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, yet “a closer look at the numbers indicates that the former president is better positioned now than at any other point since Harris entered the race,” explain Douglas Schoen & Carly Cooperman at The Hill.

New York Post by New York Post

Election Showdowns: Key Polls and Legal Battles Unfold

Vice President Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Michigan and Wisconsin ahead of the election, while the two are tied in Pennsylvania. Legal and political battles define the final campaign stretch, from Harris and Trump's accusations to voter roll purges and ballot deadline extensions in swing states.

Devdiscourse by Devdiscourse

The paradox driving Trump’s bad polling numbers

President Donald Trump is now the most unpopular he has been during his second term. More than half of American adults disapprove of the job he is doing, and he’s underwater on nearly every important issue of the day. The polling averages show this net disapp…

Vox by Christian Paz

POLL: 31% call Trump honest and trustworthy...

This week’s Economist/YouGov poll covers approval of Trump's job performance, partisan gerrymandering, Ghislaine Maxwell's prison move, inflation, and government jobless numbers

Yougov.com by Taylor Orth, David Montgomery

Real polling asks real people, unlike synthetic sampling

Synthetic sampling uses models to “survey” fake respondents. G. Elliott Morris and Verasight compared real polling data against the synthetic variety to find that the latter is error-pr…

Flowingdata.com by Nathan Yau

Americans Souring on Direction of US Under Donald Trump

A growing share of Americans say the country is headed in the wrong direction under Donald Trump’s leadership, according to new polls that show deep unease not only among Democrats and independents but increasingly within his own Republican base. Why It Matte…

Biztoc.com by newsweek.com

Polling Suggests The Country Is Absolutely Done With RFK Jr.

It’s been a little over half a year since RFK Jr. was confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services and his tenure thus far has been chaotic, to put it mildly. Listing all of the various forms of fuckery that have already occurred under his watch would …

Techdirt by Timothy Geigner

The Democrats’ Most Formidable Foe Is Not Donald Trump

According to a fresh Gallup poll this week, 43 percent of Americans regard the Supreme Court as “too conservative,” against 36 percent who feel that the Roberts court is an even-tempered administrator of justice. That 43 percent is a new high, per Gallup: “Be…

The New Republic by Jason Linkins

Donald Trump’s Support Among Men is Eroding

President Donald Trump appears to be losing his grip on a key segment of voters: men. New polling from YouGov/Economist suggests a slow but steady decline in male support for the president over the past three months, even as his overall approval shows signs o…

Biztoc.com by newsweek.com

Trump's popularity falls to worst numbers yet, says new CNN poll

Donald Trump just slipped to new lows in popularity, with an approval rating of only 37%, according to a poll released today by CNN/SSRS. "Approval of the president has dipped across partisan and demographic lines since the summer in CNN's polling," the outle…

Boing Boing by Carla Sinclair

POLL: TRUMP 63% DISAPPROVAL HIGHEST OF HIS CAREER...

One year out from the midterm elections, the Democratic Party holds a sizable enthusiasm advantage as views of President Donald Trump dip further into negative territory, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS.

CNN by Jennifer Agiesta

America reacts to US election results

(Reuters) -U.S. politicians and interest groups reacted to Democratic wins in a trio of races on Tuesday, the first major elections since Donald Trump...

Yahoo Entertainment by Reuters

Have the Democrats Figured Out How to Win Again?

On The Political Scene Podcast: “We have a lot of indications over the last [few] months that the country is, for the second time, falling out of love with Donald J. Trump,” the staff writer Benjamin Wallace-Wells says.

The New Yorker by The New Yorker

The Simulation Is Collapsing

Tuesday, Republicans got crushed in elections across New Jersey, Virginia, and New York. Not close races. Not razor-thin margins. Massive defeats in states they’d convinced themselves were winnable after Trump’s 2024 victory. Bret Baier—on Fox News, to Fox & …

Techdirt by Mike Brock

Trump approval rating drops to new low: Poll

President Trump’s approval rating reached its lowest point 10 months into his second term and the lowest since he left office in 2021, according to a new...

The Hill by Ryan Mancini

Can Aftyn Behn Pull Off A Stunning Upset In TN-07?

If you'd asked me a few months ago about the prospect of a Democrat winning in TN-07, a place where Trump won by 22 last year, I'd have said you were crazy and that it just wasn't possible. But here we are, with Aftyn Behn behind by just 2 points in a poll fr…

Crooksandliars.com by Ed Scarce

Trump’s poll collapse: can he stop the slide?

President Trump is slumping in the polls, said Joshua Green on Bloomberg, and he may drag the Republican Party down with him. He is now receiving a negative approval rating from every major pollster. But the “most stinging” numbers came in a recent Fox News s…

Biztoc.com by theweek.com

How Low Can Trump’s Approval Rating Go in 2026?

We're basically already at his proven floor after January 6th, and he is getting his worst marks ever on an economy that's holding up pretty well! Yet he now sits six points underwater with all white people, per Gallup’s newest poll. He’s ten points underwate…

Jezebel by Jacob Weindling

Gallup To End Tracking Of Presidential Job Approval

The Gallup Organization will no longer track presidential approval numbers, ending a gathering of data that goes back to Franklin Roosevelt. Gallup’s most recent presidential approval rating for Donald Trump, measured from Dec. 1-15, put the president at 36% …

Deadline by Ted Johnson

Quantifying Partisanship in Perceptions of Current Economic Conditions

Democrats/Lean Democratic current conditions assessment is relative insensitive to Trump being president, and statistically significantly related to news sentiment. Republican/Lean Republican perception is overwhelmingly associated with whether Trump is presi…

Econbrowser.com by Menzie Chinn

Not just the base: Dems flipping independent and Republican votes...

Two special election victories in Florida provided more evidence that the Democratic success in elections since Donald Trump’s return to the White House rests not just on a motivated base but also on winning over Republicans and independents.

CNN by Edward Wu, Molly English

New Poll Spells Doom for the GOP With Key 'Double Hater' Voters

Voters with negative views of both parties are now plus-thirty-freaking-one for the Democrats. That’s a 48-point swing from 2022. The kind of swing that can make a once impenetrable lead in the Senate with a friendly GOP map suddenly look vulnerable in red st…

Jezebel by Jacob Weindling

Voters Who Dislike Both Parties Are Turning Against Trump

Voters who dislike both parties are turning against Trump. Trump has traditionally done well with “I hate everybody” voters. But polling suggests they may help Democrats win in 2026.

New York Magazine by Ed Kilgore

Just How Badly Could Republicans Lose the Midterms?

A more limited landscape for Democratic gains and an unshakable MAGA base both put limits on Republican midterm losses despite all the problems facing that party and an unpopular president.

New York Magazine by Ed Kilgore

Trump’s Polling Free Fall

Donald Trump's polling numbers have been steadily declining for the past year, especially when it comes to inflation and cost of living.

Rolling Stone by Ryan Bort

Fiasco for Trump as Urgent GOP Memo Warns of Epic Midterm Bloodbath

Public polls are showing that Democrats now have the advantage over Republicans on the economy, a milestone. Strikingly, Politico reports that a newly-leaked memo from a GOP-aligned group actually confirms the same thing. The memo warns that the group’s inter…

The New Republic by The Daily Blast With Greg Sargent

Trump’s disapproval rating hits new high: Poll

President Trump’s disapproval rating has reached a new high according to recent poll results. A ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll released Friday found...

The Hill by Ashleigh Fields

Transcript: These Democrats Have a Real Chance of Being President

This is a lightly edited transcript of the May 7 edition of Right Now With Perry Bacon. You can watch the video here or by following this show on YouTube or Substack.Perry Bacon: Good afternoon. I’m Perry Bacon. I’m the host of The New Republic show Right Now…

The New Republic by Right Now With Perry Bacon