Trump tariffs likely to raise inflation and slow US economic growth - Fed chief
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the impact on the economy and inflation are ‘significantly larger than expected’.
Price inflation and related policy
291 articles
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the impact on the economy and inflation are ‘significantly larger than expected’.
Trump's sharp tariff hikes last week have heightened many economists' worries that the US could tip into recession.
With households, businesses, and global investors adjusting fast to the implications of President Donald Trump's aggressive import tariff policies, Fed policymakers said the outlook has grown increasingly difficult to predic
The Bank of Canada is likely to pause its rate-cutting cycle this week as rising inflation, weakened employment and U.S. President Donald Trump’s retreat from sweeping reciprocal tariffs have reduced the urgency of economic stimulus.
US president Donald Trump's attacks on the Federal Reserve and trade war fears have boosted demand for the safe-haven asset
It's not being projected right now, but the chances of a global recession have risen sharply from 17% to 30%
Former President Donald Trump hosted a rally in Michigan, touting economic achievements and criticizing Democrats. Attendees largely supported his economic policies despite concerns over inflation and tariffs. Democrats countered with criticism of Trump's presidency, citing chaotic governance, while protesters expressed dissent outside the event.
The UK central bank thinks Trump tariffs will be much less damaging than many assumed, with the impact not enough to push the UK into recession. But today's forecasts underline it's becoming fiendishly difficult to predict the future.
Moody's has downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating, citing concerns over the nation's soaring $36 trillion debt. This unexpected move could affect President Trump's tax cut plans and global markets. The agency pointed to unaddressed fiscal deficits and rising interest payments as contributing factors, sparking widespread criticism.
U.S. bond yields hit a 19-month high, driven by fiscal concerns and President Trump's tax bill. The bond market saw soft demand, with 20-year bond sales sparking fears over U.S. debt. Stock markets experienced mixed results, and the U.S. dollar gained amidst global economic uncertainty.
Also: Radio station | Tax bill | Ludicrous behavior | Trump supporters | Racial classifications. East Bay Times reader letters to the editor for June 1, 2025.
The Vice President said the Fed refusing to cut interest rates was "monetary malpractice," echoing sentiment voiced by Trump in recent months.
Consumer prices rose 2.4% over the year in May, slightly higher than the previous month but below economists' expectations.
Former IMF official Desmond Lachman highlights risks from Trump tariffs and tax cuts, warning of potential inflation, higher bond yields, and recession.
While inflation has cooled in recent months, it remains above the Fed’s 2% target and has remained persistently elevated for years
Canadian investors purchased $9.2 billion of U.S. government bonds in April, but the value of their total Treasury holdings fell by $58 billion.
After Israel attacked Iran on June 13, U.S. Treasury yields rose while other countries’ bond yields declined.
"While the war between Israel and Iran can always escalate, conflicts are not usually a sustained bullish price driver."
Inflation, high interest rates and market uncertainty are impacting housing affordability this summer.
The U.S. dollar had its worst start this year in more than half a century. Harvard University economics professor Kenneth Rogoff says President Trump is accelerating the decline.
Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic warned that effects of President Donald Trump's tariffs could cause prolonged inflation rather than a one...
The latest jobs report shows a steady economy—tame inflation and record-high stock markets. But will the passage of Trump’s so-called “One Big Beautiful Bill...
Jamie Dimon warned that markets are underestimating inflation and the risk of more Fed rate hikes amid global trade tensions.
On The New Yorker Radio Hour, the former Treasury Secretary and chair of the Federal Reserve discusses the budget bill, the exploding deficit, and why Donald Trump is so desperate for lower interest rates.
It hasn't been an easy start to 2025 for Jerome Powell. Unfortunately for the Fed chair, the second half of the year is likely to be even tougher.
"The days of the world letting America live beyond its means are rapidly coming to an end."
Inflation is speeding up after a period of cooling down earlier this year.
EXCLUSIVE: JPMorgan’s Jacob Manoukian tells Fortune he remains confident in the U.S. economy’s long-term dominance, dismissing “sell America” calls as short-...
Inflation has cooled this year, defying the fears of many economists.
Economic crises, like a recession, are unpredictable by nature. Staying prepared is the best way to protect your finances.
Republicans highlight the positives, Democrats the negatives in latest US CPI report; experts say the data is mixed.
Wall Street anticipates key earnings reports from major retailers like Walmart and Target to gauge consumer health amidst Trump's tariffs, weak job growth, and inflation. While retailers have largely protected margins, the full tariff impact looms, potentiall…
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in September, but there are signs inflation might be starting to pick up setting up a challenge for policymakers.
Wholesale prices on fresh and dry vegetables rose nearly 40 percent, and soon consumers will feel the pinch
An economist explained why U.S. prices haven’t surged yet -- and when tariffs will start raising costs for consumers in America.
Are we getting a stimulus check 2025? Here's status update on Trump's $600 rebate stimulus checks, how to track IRS refund by social security number
As US labor and inflation data seemingly worsen, the White House refrain is “no panicans”—in other words, no room for panic. That isn't keeping everyone in Trumpworld from getting the jitters.
The Fed chair will speak Friday at an annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyo. The speech comes as the central bank is under mounting pressure from the White House to lower interest rates.
Second-quarter results showed that the retailer has continued to benefit from price sensitivity among US consumers.
In his keynote Jackson Hole address, Fed Chair Jerome Powell spoke about the job market, inflation, and the central bank's future outlook.
Eight months have elapsed since the Fed last adjusted interest rates.
Powell's remarks offered little guidance about how soon or how quickly rates might continue to move lower.
Powell threw Mr. Market and Trump a bone by hinting the Fed might cut rates in Sept. But the Fed lacks good options with stagflation looming
Now that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has signaled that the central bank could soon cut its key interest rate, he faces a new challenge: how to do it without seeming to cave to the White House’s demands. For months, Powell has largely ignored President…
Fed shifts inflation policy and what it means for investors. Discover what it really means and why stocks remain the best hedge and wealth builder long term.
Mysticism about the Fed's ability to grow the economy is rooted in a myth that won't die about the Fed causing the Great Depression.
Powell’s Jackson Hole speech showed how the Fed is weighing inflation against jobs. That balance could shape policy in the fourth quarter of 2025 and beyond.
One of the challenges that comes from analyzing markets and the economy is just how much “gray” there is. Most data points exist along a noisy continuum, subject to future revisions. The meanderings above or below the trend may be just noise, or the start of …
The fresh reading followed a weak jobs report and sweeping new tariffs.
Splinter is your home for news and opinions that challenge power in our political and economic system that's becoming more unhinged each and every day.
My morning train WFH reads: • How America’s 1% came to dominate stock ownership: Market’s tenfold gain since 1990 mostly has gone to the richest part of the population. (Financial Post) • • The Lisa Cook Case Could Be the Whole Ball Game: If the Supreme Court…
This week, I speak with Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody’s Corp. Dr. Zandi is a cofounder of Economy.com, which Moody’s purchased in 2005. He currently hosts the “Inside Economics” podcast. We discusse the state of the U…
Donald Trump has been ramping up his war of words against the Federal Reserve this year, attacking Fed chair Jerome Powell as economists warn of a looming dollar disaster...
Jay Powell hinted that the Fed would cut interest rates in September, and financial markets say 86% probability. But the 1 in 7 chance of no change merits consideration.
But there were other signals that economists watch closely, because they mean households may be dipping into savings to sustain purchases.
Collectively, six diagnostic Minsky indicators suggest that in 2025 the U.S. economy has become more fragile, and more vulnerable to a financial crisis.
Will Trump's tariffs cause inflation? Here, we will examine the causes of inflation in the U.S. from 1800 to 2024. The answer may surprise you.
"I think that what is happening now politically and socially is analogous to what happened around the world in the 1930-40 period," he said.
The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, and Bloomberg. All of our earlier podcasts …
You can catch Trader Talk on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever you get your podcasts. Can the Fed’s small rate cuts rescue Main Street, or will...
The price of gold has soared as investors seek out safe havens amid heightened economic uncertainty.
The US added far fewer jobs in August than the expected gain of 75,000, while unemployment increased to 4.3%.
The US job market is stalling out.
A weak jobs report released Friday likely sealed an interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's next policy meeting this month, as the Trump administration...
US President Donald Trump says they have, but this is only half true.
August’s report is much worse and pointing to more.
The unemployment warnings are linked to lower interest rates
Government intervention or central planning that never works during the good times hardly takes on growth-oriented virtue during the supposedly bad.
A potential loss of investor confidence in the central bank's ability to tackle inflation without political interference could have steep costs for the...
On Tuesday, Sept 9, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its preliminary benchmark revision for the year through March. Last year's revision showed a ...
It gives new meaning to the term economic meltdown.
The revision, a routine step, comes weeks after Trump fired BLS commissioner.
Job growth revised down by 911,000... (First column, 1st story, link) Related stories:Economy shakier than realized... Consumers hit with shock tariff bills... GALLUP: SUPPORT FOR CAPITALISM AT NEW LOW...
Nearly a million fewer jobs were created between April 2024 and March 2025 than previously reported, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.The new data, published Tuesday morning, speaks to a weak job market during both former President Joe Biden and Pr…
SINGAPORE (Reuters) -The dollar stabilised in early Asian trading hours on Thursday after an unexpected drop in U.S. factory-gate prices bolstered...
Weakening labour market and higher inflation has put Fed in a 'difficult' position even as economists expect a rate cut.
More than ever, we need to understand the reasons for his political survival
The Fed is expected to cut rates on September 17 in light of recent soft labor market data, and should provide clues for future monetary policy decisions.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, under fire for recent sharp downward revisions to U.S. nonfarm payrolls and...
My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • BlackRock Says Fiscal Angst in Global Bond Markets Is Overblown: Bond markets are seeking a new equilibrium after years of ultra low yields, and investors expect countries like France to ultimately sort out its budge…
Economists expect the Fed to make the first rate cut of the year this week. Here's what that means for savings, mortgages, and more.
The Fed is likely to lower interest rates by a quarter percentage point Wednesday in an effort to cushion the sagging job market. The move comes as policymakers face growing pressure from Trump.
The Fed's projections show the median member expected another half percentage point of cuts in 2025. One member called for something more ambitious.
The central bank’s widely expected 0.25% cut comes amid a cooling labour market, which has stalled economic growth.
Incoherent tariffs, foreign companies watching their workers arrested—interest rate cuts can’t heal this.
A detailed analysis of the poor prospects for dollar hegemony and the forces that could trigger a sharp unwind.
The announcement of a quarter percent rate cut, and the indication of likely future cuts, is something a lot of people were waiting for. But what will ultimately come?
The remarks came less than a week after the Fed cut interest rates.
Cardboard-box demand can be a legitimate indicator. Hemline length? Not so much.
Our fine daily links: harlequin toad, screen dangers, ocean acidification, China v. Mexican tariffs, Netanyahu dissed, UK bond sale wobbles, Russia-EU plane spat, German child poverty, Comey indictment, US private debt worries, AI workslop, unaffordable house…
With two scheduled meetings remaining, the FOMC is likely to cut again.
Money is a measure. Nothing else.
I'm keeping track of Trump's economy right here. Every month. Enjoy!View Entire Post ›
The current discount rate means that the government views the long-term future of humanity as not metaphorically but literally worthless.
Why a protracted US shutdown could seriously damage an already faltering economy.
Another interest rate cut is likely at the Fed's next scheduled meeting in September due, in part, to potential labor market risks.
The White House website lists total investments at $8.8 trillion, though that figure appears to be padded with some investment commitments made during Joe...
Ken Griffin said investors want to make the most of the rally in American equities but are hedging their spoils out of U.S. sovereign risk.
The price of gold has soared 50 percent in 2025. Experts say the 'safe haven' asset is becoming an all-occasions asset.
The fresh data marked three consecutive months of worsening shopper attitudes.
Wealth idled, to our near and long-term detriment.
Some Canadian jewelry brands are raising their prices as a surge in demand for gold — incited by investors' fears of a shaky economic outlook — pushes the market for this precious metal to record highs.
A recent uptick in prices has coincided with a sharp slowdown of hiring.
The biggest increases came from the surging price of petrol, according to the report.
MTG admits prices under Trump ‘have not come down at all,’ says young Americans have ‘no hope’ of buying homes More than nine months into his second term, President Donald Trump is struggling to deliver on a key campaign promise: making life more affordable. …
Trump and the GOP haven't learned from Biden's misread of economic perceptions
By Jason Lange WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Donald Trump's presidential approval rating fell in recent days, tying the lowest level of his term, as more Americans...
The Fed announced a quarter-percent cut Wednesday, even as the government shutdown disrupts major data releases like the jobs and inflation.
The US central bank cut rates by a quarter of a percentage point, its second cut for the year.
Bessent blamed the Federal Reserve for not cutting interest rates fast enough.
Elon Musk has warned it’s not possible to solve the U.S. debt crisis without growing the economy at a fantastic pace—something that bitcoin supporters think will blow up the bitcoin price...
There’s inflation as measured by the BLS (CPI), and there’s inflation as measured in gold.
About 7 in 10 Americans are spending more on groceries compared to last year.
The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Jon Hilsenrath, Serpa Pinto Advisory on the Fed, is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including any podcast extras, on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, and Bloomberg. All of our earlier podcasts o…
Trump's tariffs are raising tens of billions of dollars for the federal government. They're also costing consumers, frustrating businesses and hurting the factories they're supposed to help.
President Donald Trump got a serious warning from voters that he’s out of touch with their fears about a deteriorating U.S. economy. Democrats were able to ...
President Trump promised to bring down inflation. One year on from his victory, BBC Verify revisits some of his claims.
They haven't been buying dips, and they're cooling on gold and bitcoin.
The blackout continues on the US jobs report for the second straight month as the US Labor Department will not publish its very important employment data. Reuters is reporting: The U.S. Labor Department on Friday will not publish its closely watched employme…
Forecasts point to high holiday spending this year — mostly because everything is so expensive.
No amount of good economic policy can overcome a weak dollar.
My back-to-work morning train WFH reads: • The Dow Is Close to 50,000. How the Heck Did We Get Here So Fast? It took a 103-year slog through market crashes, depression, and crippling inflation to reach that “once-unthinkable milestone,” as The Wall Street Jou…
President Donald Trump continued to insist the economy is strong and even insisted polls showing Americans are feeling economic pain are "fake."
The rapid-fire process of killing the penny is already causing some disruption.
The government minted the final one-cent coin in Philadelphia, though billions remain in circulation.
The White House DOGE was right: the penny has been a drain on the economy and should have been phased out long ago.
The US is set to make its final penny. The Philadelphia Mint will strike its last batch of one-cent coins on Thursday, after more than 230 years of production. From a report: The coins will remain in circulation but the phase-out has already prompted business…
Panicked advisers to Donald Trump are reportedly urging the president to stop dismissing Americans’ financial anxieties and insisting there is no cost-of...
Anne Walsh, CIO of a $357 billion investment manager, said at Yahoo Finance Invest that rates are likely to go lower from here.
The White House told America to 'suck it up' on high prices. After Mamdani's win, where affordability was a key issue, Trump is scrambling to reverse.
The government could "tolerate stronger growth and higher inflation, allowing real interest rates to fall and the debt burden to shrink over time," JPMB says...
Markets now give a 44% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December.
On inflation, healthcare, mortgages and much more, the Trump administration offers bogus math.
The unemployment rate rose to 4.4 percent as the labour market cools.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics has explained it was 'unable to retroactively collect' the data on consumer prices.
A much needed, detailed debunking of Trump's claim that Thanksgiving meal costs, and by implicaiton inflation, are declining.
Markets anticipate, which helps explain why so-called “money printing” occurs after the inflation.
A new Yahoo/YouGov survey finds that a greater number of U.S. adults now blame Trump for inflation than blamed Joe Biden in 2022.
From US President Donald Trump’s weaponization of trade to the erosion of US Treasuries’ status as safe-haven assets and breakneck investment in AI, the last year has shaken the foundations of the postwar global economy. As 2025 comes to an end, we asked PS c…
Doubts over AI demand put pressure on tech and a surprise fall in private-sector employment revealed cracks in the job market.
Doubts over AI demand put pressure on tech and a surprise fall in private-sector employment revealed cracks in the job market.
His messaging on the cost of living contradicts itself.
President Rages After FOX Guest Skewers Him Over Rising Prices... (Top headline, 3rd story, link) Related stories:Trump struggles to persuade Americans to ignore affordability issues... 'People aren't dumb'...
As the Republican Party flails on the cost-of-living crisis, President Donald Trump kicked off his Saturday morning with an attack on his beloved Fox & Friends for prodding that sensitive subject.The show on Saturday hosted Peter Schiff, a stockbroker and fin…
GDP is only part of the path to the "restoration of American Greatness."
The Fed delivered a second straight reduction in October driven by the summer’s sudden deterioration in the US labor market. The latest inflation number now...
Bank of America thinks commodities are the top "run-it-hot" investment for 2026, thanks to factors like Trump's economic policies & higher inflation.
Downplaying voters’ economic pain will backfire.
Plus, how to hedge against history.
Donald J. Trump kicked off his morning on Truth Social to whine about a guest on Fox and Friends who dared to criticize the economy under this president. But as Fox News's Jesse Watters said yesterday, "For better or for worse, it's going to be the Trump econ…
President Trump is hitting the road this week to address Americans' affordability concerns head-on. But it's a trip that comes as his rhetoric and actions...
The weak dollar supported demand for bullion, as it makes gold cheaper for overseas buyers.
Jerome Powell will soon announce the next Fed decision on a potential interest rate cut. The Fed is missing key economic data on jobs and inflation.
The Federal Reserve's December FOMC meeting will conclude on Wednesday, December 10, with US central bank officials voting on their last interest rate...
The Fed cut interest rates for the third time this year on Wednesday. From inflation to the job market to stocks, here are the biggest takeaways.
Donald Trump may have dismissed US cost of living issues as a "hoax," but his most loyal supporters are feeling the pinch -- even if they still back the...
Jerome Powell’s Federal Reserve will likely deliver its final cut of the year on Wednesday. But Claudia Sahm is already looking ahead.
A split central bank leaves Wall Street watching every word as inflation and missing data collide.
Here's how expensive it really is in America right now, in 10 charts.
Perhaps the most overlooked element in the “affordability hoax” is the president’s own role in it. Before we get into the details, a few preliminary caveats. First, as COVID-19 ran wild, lockdowns were beginning, and a vaccine was still off in the future, the…
The US’s two major parties can agree on one thing: They don’t have much use for economists anymore. President Joe Biden ignored economists’ warnings about the risks of inflation. President Donald Trump dismissed economists’ arguments against his tariffs. And …
By Julia Harte Dec 13 - When Ron Dailey goes out to eat, he is shocked by prices on the menu.
President Donald Trump’s proposed $2,000 tariff dividend would provide welcome relief to millions of Americans in 2026, although experts are mixed on the likelihood of that happening, and the wisdom of it — because a cash injection could fuel further inflatio…
These liars on Fox just repeat this stuff ad nauseam. It's about time one of them was finally corrected. During a discussion on this Friday's The Five about James Carville's ridiculous rant saying that Trump is "done," and calling him a "loser," as though hi…
Donald Trump has revealed the White House’s domestic priority, and it’s not bringing down costs or addressing the looming healthcare crisis. Speaking at a...
The unemployment rate remains low but rose to its highest level since 2021.
The parade celebrated its 117th anniversary, according to the event.
This Christmas and New Year's holiday period is expected to be the busiest on record, with more than 122 million people expected to travel between Dec. 20 and Jan. 1, according to AAA.
Gold prices have crossed the $4,500 an-ounce mark for the first time. Silver and platinum have also reached record highs. This surge is fueled by investor demand for safe assets and anticipation of more U.S. interest rate reductions next year. The U.S. dollar…
Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan talks prices, affordability, inflation predictions for 2026, the "shock" from the business community when President Trump ...
The minutes from the December FOMC meeting showed officials were split over a rate cut. As far as future cuts, the minutes state "With respect to the extent ...
SINGAPORE, Jan 12 () - Tension between the White House and the U. central bank sharply escalated over the weekend, with U.
Inflation held steady in December, continuing to prove stubborn just days after reports of a Department of Justice probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
By Ishaan Arora Jan 16 (Reuters) - Gold extended its losses on Friday after stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data dampened expectations of the U.S.
Gold prices dropped on Friday after reaching record highs. Investors took profits as geopolitical tensions eased, reducing gold's safe-haven appeal. Despite the dip, gold is set for its second consecutive weekly gain. Silver also saw a decline after hitting a…
President Donald Trump wrapped up his first year in his second term. Here's how inflation, the job market, tariffs, and spending have evolved.
Gold prices rose on Friday, advancing closer to the $5,000 mark, as geopolitical concerns remained in focus.
“Gold heads for best week since 2008” is not exactly a headline that makes you feel all warm and fuzzy inside, but such is the present state of the American economy.
My end-of-week morning train WFH reads: • Five Reasons Gold Is Surging Toward $5,000 an Ounce: Buying the precious metal has become the antidote for market jitters (Wall Street Journal) • Rich Americans Had a Good 2025. Everyone Else Fell Behind: The top 1% o…
Spot gold price touches an all-time high of $5,110.50 for an ounce in the first hours of the day.
Electric and gas providers more than doubled rate increase requests to state regulators last year, often citing soaring demand from AI data centers.
I'm keeping track of Trump's economy right here. Every month. Enjoy!View Entire Post ›
The quality and availability of economic data is declining. That could end up with a lot of unemployed Americans and increase the chance of recession.
Analysts see various factors at play for price swings, from Trump's unpredictability to distrust in economic systems.
The economy is crashing because Wall Street spent trillions shorting Japan's currency and now they're being squeezed.
The Fed is under attack. Can it be both protected and held accountable?
Shopper attitudes remain below where they registered a year ago, data showed.
By Tim Reid WASHINGTON, Feb 7 (Reuters) - Donald Trump has cast himself as Republicans’ chief messenger on the cost of living in an election year, but a...
How not to solve the cost-of-living crisis
U.S. employers added 130,000 jobs in January as the unemployment rate dipped to 4.3% from 4.4% in December. Annual revisions show that job growth last year was far weaker than initially reported.
Job growth in 2025 was already very bad, and it got worse in a good January jobs report.
It’s official: the jobless boom of Donald Trump’s first year back in office was even worse than we originally thought. A jobs report published Wednesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics contained significant downward revisions for the already weak job growth…
My three-day weekend reads: • Why a ‘K-Shaped’ Economy Means More Risk for Stock Investors: The wealthy are propping up consumer spending thanks to a multi-year bull run, while lower earners pinch pennies. That creates a fragile circular dynamic — if stocks s…
Monday brought a small drop in gold prices, a contrast to the robust gains of the previous trading day. The latest inflation report from the U.S. was softer than expected, raising expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Markets currently expect the Fed to cut rates in June
Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz pointed to several concerns he had about the US economy, like the decline in blue-collar jobs & uncertainty over rates.
Fox's Shannon Bream discusses what Republicans are telling them behind closed doors on these illegal Trump tariffs. They all know they're a tax on Americans and inflation and the economy is going to hurt them in the midterm elections, but apparently, the cowa…
We are now staring down the stagflationary barrel while the threat of recession rises. The jobs market is bad to mediocre, and Trump and Israel’s war with Iran has guaranteed us more inflation thanks to the oil shock.
This story appeared in The Logoff, a daily newsletter that helps you stay informed about the Trump administration without letting political news take over your life. Subscribe here. Welcome to The Logoff: The fundamentals of the American economy are…starting …
'It’s very much like the early ’70s … what do you put your money in?'
Donald Trump is watching the GOP's midterm chances go up in an expensive fireball, as gasoline prices and inflation surge due to Iran.
Business Insider spoke with experts and reviewed commentary to see what smart people think the war with Iran means for inflation and consumers.
Oil prices are swinging as markets react to every twist in the conflict.
If oil prices sustain a $20-a-barrel increase, that would be equivalent to Americans paying $150 billion more at the pump a year, one strategist says.
The likelihood is growing that the economy will be in recession when voters cast their ballots in the midterm elections. Goldman, Sachs on Thursday raised its 12-month estimation of a recession’s probability from 20 percent to 25 percent, and on Friday mornin…
Inflation and steep oil prices were headlines at the Fed's March meeting. Powell hinted he may remain on the FOMC after his term as chair.
The US Federal Reserve keeps rates steady at 3.5–3.75 percent amidst a cooling labour market and Iran pressures.
Markets are recalibrating expectations for Fed rate cuts. BofA says the Fed could possibly hike rates if three conditions are met.
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said one of his favorite users is "this guy who lives in Kansas" who nails inflation forecasts.
FERGUSON: Brace Yourselves. Recession Coming.... (First column, 10th story, link) Related stories:MOODY'S cuts rating on private credit fund... Wall St crisis spreads as shadow bank blocks withdrawals...
The effects of tariffs and the war in Iran — even if it ends soon — will be felt at the till all year long.
(Bloomberg) -- Some of Wall Street’s biggest bond-fund managers say financial markets are underestimating the risk that the US war in Iran will cause a sharp...
U.S. gas prices have jumped past an average of $4 a gallon for the first time since 2022 as fuel prices continue to soar worldwide amid the Iran war
If he could read, he'd be so mad right now.View Entire Post ›
It's been a year since Liberation Day on April 2, 2025. Here's how tariff rates and inflation have evolved since then.
White House says March jobs report 'blew out expectations' with gains made in the healthcare and construction sectors.
Remember Liberation Day? Well, a year later, inflation is up, Trump’s ratings are down — and he doesn’t care
The conflict has driven up prices of oil, natural gas, damaged refineries and other energy infrastructure.
Inflation surged in March after an oil shock triggered by the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, government data showed on Friday. The inflation report matched economists' expectations.
This story appeared in The Logoff, a daily newsletter that helps you stay informed about the Trump administration without letting political news take over your life. Subscribe here. Welcome to The Logoff: The economic impact of the Iran war is becoming cleare…
This story was originally published by Inside Climate News and is reproduced here as part of the Climate Desk collaboration. From the cold snap this winter to the US war with Iran, rising energy bills are making headlines. But there’s a larger story behind sp…
Government report shows gasoline going up by 21.2 percent in March as petrol remains above $4 per gallon despite truce.
The Fed put, or the idea that the central bank will rush to cut interest rates to prop up the economy, is likely off the table, Ruchir Sharma says.
Fox Business anchor David Asman did his best to put a happy face on the damage Trump is doing to our economy while downplaying the fact that he's a dangerous raving lunatic. During yet another segment where someone on Fox was telling their audience that infla…
Americans have never felt worse about the economy, based on the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. Gas prices are partially to blame.
Anthony Scaramucci asserts the US is already in a recession, citing Trump's policies and economic tensions as contributing factors.
A full 70% of Americans now say that the economy is getting worse, and that it's the fault of Trump. It's time for Republicans to flee.
Nearly three-quarters say the economy is getting worse.
Remember the Looney Tunes cartoon character, Wile E. Coyote, the useless hunter who relentlessly chased Road Runner, the stick-thin bird too fast to catch?
Time is almost up on Jerome Powell's eight-year stint as Federal Reserve chairman. Here's what market pros say his legacy will be.
A new review of state education data shows teacher pay increases can't keep up with inflation and fewer students are enrolled in public schools.
The April Fed meeting is set to be Jerome Powell's last as chair. Business Insider looked at his record since 2018.
The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision at its April meeting, which is expected to be Fed Chair Jerome Powell's last.
The announcement may be the final rate move under Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Price of petrol in US jumps by nearly 30 cents in one week amid Strait of Hormuz blockade and Iran diplomatic deadlock.
How much Donald Trump can do with the time he has left as president will depend massively on the cost of living.
The following is the transcript of the interview with White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett that aired on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" on May 3, 2026.
The boom is not as untethered from reality as it may look.
Former GOP presidential candidate Ramaswamy headlines field of candidates.
President Donald Trump said Americans' financial situation was "not even a little bit" of a motivating factor for him reaching a deal to end the war in Iran.
Consumer prices spike in April, driven by soaring energy costs, with petrol prices up nearly 30 percent since last year.
Senate on Wednesday voted to confirm Kevin Warsh as the chair of the Federal Reserve, paving the way for the lawyer, financier and former central-bank...
The price of groceries rose more last month than they have in nearly four years, according to annualized data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fresh veggies are now more than 44% pricier than they were just three months ago, before the U.S. — Read the res…
Lloyd Blankfein on the growing U.S. debt, polarization, the state of the economy, and what a United States default would look like. Plus: Trump-branded cellphones and the decline of public confidence in free enterprise.
Trump’s aggressive push for interest rate cuts shaped Powell’s Fed legacy during his tumultuous leadership.
By Sophie Kiderlin LONDON, May 15 (Reuters) - Global shares tumbled on Friday as investor euphoria over tech stocks gave way to inflation fears, sending bond...
Powell faced a pandemic, an acute bout of inflation and a criminal probe.
The new Fed Chair is inheriting an inflation conundrum: appease Trump or hold out on rates?
What fractures globalized production naturally results in higher prices just as what integrates global production naturally results in lower prices.
After an especially bruising week of hot back-to-back inflation headlines, increasing uncertainties about the end of the Iran war’s energy shocks, and a...
Friday’s jump in 10 year Treasury yields (10 bps), and the 30 year yield nearing 5% alarmed markets. But why? Debt and the debt trajectory are up. Fed Chair Designate Warsh wants to shrink the Fed balance sheet, even as Trump continues his assault on Fed inde…
My Taco Tuesday morning train strike Lyft reads: • Words That Mattered: Fed Chair Jay Powell: A close reading of Powell’s most consequential lines, dated and re-contextualized. Excellent reference for the next FOMC parse. (Stay-at-Home Macro) • How Trump plan…
As petrol prices rise, new survey suggests economic confidence in the US is at -45, the worst since 2022.
Rising Treasury yields, war-driven inflation and a ballooning deficit create a vicious cycle for borrowers.
(Bloomberg) -- Gold advanced as signs the US and Iran are closing in on a deal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz tempered inflation concerns.Most Read...
Even if all-time lows in economic sentiment are just inequality-based vibes, inequality still had a big hand in the Great Depression
As part of NPR's Swing Shift project checking in with swing voters, these Americans are split on who is to blame for high gas prices but they all agree it has an impact on their personal finances.
We would be in an entirely different economy if practically anyone other than America’s worst human was president.
Tomato prices were up 21 per cent in April compared to a year earlier, the highest year-over-year price increase for any grocery item measured in the consumer price index, beating coffee and beef.
In January 2025, the president was set up for success. Instead, he blew it
Another Trump mouthpiece tried to gaslight Americans into disbelieving their own financial struggles. In this case, it was Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent insisting that our economic woes are a Democratic/news media hoax. As inflation just hit a three-year h…
Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. A shorter version was published in Project Syndicate. May 31, 2026 …
The world is getting more uptight about lending money to President Donald Trump’s government
Welcome to June! Kick off your back-to-work with our expertly curated morning reads: • The Lowest Consumer Sentiment EVER: We are currently sitting at the lowest level of consumer sentiment in the past 75 years!. Lower than the Great Financial Crisis when the…
Fresh inflation data now suggests the challenge may be deeper and longer lasting than many expected.
Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, says that US GDP growth doesn't mean the economy is in great shape, and headwinds are building.
On average, US households have spent $750 more in expenses due to the war, hitting middle and lower-income people hard.
Production is always matched with credible exchange media. One presumes the other.
By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, June 8 (Reuters) - The dollar was perched near a two-month high on Monday after a blowout U.S. jobs report sent traders ramping up bets...
Trump said he ‘loves’ inflation as new data showed US consumer prices rose at their fastest pace in three years.
President Donald Trump said on June 10 'I love the inflation' when asked about the May CPI report. He later told the New York Post it was out of context.
Inflation is on the rise, but the Trump administration doesn’t seem concerned.
Ever since Kevin Warsh was nominated by President Trump in late January to lead the Federal Reserve, a question has lingered: Will he seek to raise interest rates to tame inflation or cut them as Trump has long demanded
Futures markets overwhelmingly expect the Fed to hold interest rates steady.
My mid-week morning train WFH reads: • A Good Family: Fight Warsh says he wants one, inflation demands it, and the dot plot is how we’d see it. All eyes will be on Kevin Warsh this week as he chairs his first FOMC meeting. However, with PCE inflation on track…
President Donald Trump has spent years testing the boundaries of what politicians can say publicly. During his first presidential campaign, he famously said that he could “stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody” without losing supporters. It w…
Heightened energy prices because of the US-Israel war with Iran has pushed US inflation to a three-year high.
By Balazs Koranyi and Leika Kihara FRANKFURT/TOKYO, June 18 (Reuters) - The Iran war-induced inflation surge is becoming too much for central banks around th...
Economists talk about ongoing inflation and what consumers can do to cope.
Traders are now fully anticipating a quarter-point interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve by September, a shift driven by renewed inflation worries fueled by a surge in oil prices. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's firm stance against high inflation has bolste…
Before the new Fed chairman got the job, he intimated that the central bank could cut interest rates, but last week he assumed the role of an inflation hawk, John Cassidy writes.
My Two-for-Tuesday morning train WFH reads: • Trump picked Kevin Warsh to cut rates. The new Fed chief just told us he has other plans. Here’s what the central bank’s hawkish agenda means for your money. MarketWatch on Warsh’s first public posture as Fed chai…
I'm keeping track of Trump's economy right here. Every month. Enjoy!View Entire Post ›
My mid-week morning train WFH reads: • The Humbling of the Once Almighty Dollar: Krugman on the greenback’s slipping grip and what dethrones a reserve currency (slowly, then not). Wonky, contrarian, and worth arguing with. (Paul Krugman) • How the Mag 7 becam…
The A.I. boom and the Iran war are driving demand for chips to unprecedented levels—leading to bigger price tags for your gadgets.
The Fed couldn’t fight what economists incorrectly deem inflation even if it wanted to.