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Quantifying Partisanship in Perceptions of Current Economic Conditions

Menzie Chinn, Econbrowser.com

Democrats/Lean Democratic current conditions assessment is relative insensitive to Trump being president, and statistically significantly related to news sentiment. Republican/Lean Republican perception is overwhelmingly associated with whether Trump is presi…

Elections & PoliticsPolling

Feb 15, 2026, 9:28 PM

The Recent Evolution of Ground Beef and Ground Coffee Prices and Tariff Rates in the U.S.

Menzie Chinn, Econbrowser.com

From BLS: Figure 1: Price of Ground Beef (red, left scale), of Ground Coffee (brown, right scale), in $/lb., n.s.a. Orange dashed lines at discrete increases in tariff rates, green dashed line at discrete drop in tariff rates. Source: BLS, TPC Tariff Tracker.…

Economy & FinanceTradeTariff Economic Impact

Feb 15, 2026, 5:59 PM

The Year in Review, 2025: I wanted lower prices, and all I got is this lousy hole in the ground

Menzie Chinn, Econbrowser.com

Here are some of the most ridiculous (and tragic) events of 2025, in economic or economic policy terms.     January: CEA designate Stephen Miran cobbles together a disjointed attempt at international finance, wherein exorbitant privilege is diminished, but US…

Jan 1, 2026, 2:02 AM

Consumers Vote on Economic Prospects

Menzie Chinn, Econbrowser.com

Durables consumption has experienced extreme volatility over the last 9 months (since the election). However, services and nondurables should follow the permanent income hypothesis — at least halfway (DSGE’s usually incorporate about 50% hand-to-mouth consume…

Economy & FinanceTaxes

Aug 3, 2025, 1:27 AM

CEA: “Imported Goods Have Been Getting Cheaper Relative to Domestically Produced Goods”

Menzie Chinn, Econbrowser.com

That’s the title of a report by the Trump administration CEA earlier this month. It’s an interesting question whether this is the relevant question or not. What the CEA analysis does is to use the 2017 Input-Output tables to determine what the final goods pri…

Economy & FinanceTrade

Jul 20, 2025, 2:43 PM

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